Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 11.809516 13.242590 14.877999 16.904690 19.380802 22.351154 26.253293
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 10.004754 11.749363 13.892679 16.785572 20.699091 25.991259 34.048714
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.887862 10.748059 13.145350 16.574356 21.565097 28.963411 41.706037
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 8.149909 10.084365 12.674085 16.559612 22.581277 32.282875 51.134864
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.645452 9.649528 12.423411 16.768438 23.909738 36.397631 63.983368
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 7.047551 9.015284 11.801859 16.300757 24.016248 38.370663 73.559813
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.661293 8.638377 11.504618 16.280773 24.854598 41.949359 89.426137
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.201200 8.114461 10.931716 15.727570 24.613006 43.230126 100.124919
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.738775 7.554319 10.255582 14.920630 23.752690 42.914168 105.761463
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.363829 7.101048 9.711583 14.283039 23.122985 42.980904 113.099807
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.505189 7.430920 10.425317 15.930836 27.422209 56.881303 199.367899
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.436950 7.431079 10.601648 16.624083 29.879760 67.373596 307.535648
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.095112 6.994631 10.038745 15.889176 29.020236 67.587992 346.618272
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.888519 6.762255 9.806474 15.778416 29.656127 73.338206 479.199090
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.688034 6.526986 9.549874 15.586143 30.049760 78.560956 668.071261
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.532642 6.355480 9.390745 15.572704 30.909896 86.367111 1078.067620
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.419697 6.246534 9.333014 15.762918 32.377642 98.270613 2336.456719
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.228512 5.997483 9.005686 15.336764 32.004881 101.100262 3672.955343
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.106904 5.859064 8.870914 15.318542 32.840085 111.348786 12670.593928
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.929303 5.618095 8.532924 14.813693 32.093030 111.969899 27827.129380
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.731496 5.335887 8.105633 14.075816 30.511297 106.613065 27914.624861
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.563930 5.100002 7.755402 13.491532 29.347684 103.546435 39338.121992
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.667110 5.330606 8.291677 14.999286 35.341366 158.548740 NaN